Analyst Anna: It is expected that the CPI report in November will show the core inflation rate of 0.3% for the fourth consecutive month. This is consistent with the annual inflation increase of more than 3%, which is higher than the Fed's target of 2%. Since the middle of the year, the anti-inflation process of core CPI seems to have stagnated. There is no doubt that this will be a topic to be discussed at the FOMC meeting in December.After the publication of CPI in the United States, the probability that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December has almost been fully priced. According to CME's "Fed Observation", the probability that the Fed will keep the current interest rate unchanged by December is 2.3%, and the cumulative probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 97.7%. The probability of keeping the current interest rate unchanged by January next year is 1.7%, the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 71.2%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 27.1%.German Chancellor Scholz: Decisions need to be made before the end of the year, such as improving children's welfare. It is necessary to solve the financial drag problem before the end of the year.
France urges Israel to withdraw from the Syrian buffer zone.German Chancellor Scholz: It is necessary to prevent electricity prices from rising before 2025. A plan has been put forward to prevent the power grid funds from rising. The Bundestag can also vote on this before the Christmas holiday.In November, the CPI of the United States hit its biggest increase in seven months, but it is unlikely to prevent the Fed from cutting interest rates next week. The consumer price index of the United States recorded its biggest increase in seven months in November, but it is unlikely to prevent the Fed from cutting interest rates for the third time next week in the context of the cooling job market. Data show that CPI rose by 0.3% last month, the biggest increase since April, after the index rose by 0.2% for four consecutive months. The year-on-year growth rate of CPI rose by 2.7% after rising by 2.6% in October. Compared with the peak of 9.1% in June 2022, the year-on-year growth rate of inflation has slowed down significantly. Nevertheless, in recent months, the process of reducing the inflation rate to the Fed's 2% target has actually stalled. However, the Fed is now more concerned about the labor market. Although employment growth accelerated in November after being severely disturbed by strikes and hurricanes in October, the unemployment rate accelerated to 4.2% after staying at 4.1% for two consecutive months.
Ping An Property & Casualty Shanghai Branch responded with a fine: the internal accountability mechanism was started, and the rectification work was carried out. On December 11th, the ticket disclosed by Shanghai Supervision Bureau of the State Financial Supervision and Administration Bureau showed that China Ping An Property Insurance Co., Ltd. Shanghai Branch was fined 730,000 yuan for entrusting an institution without legal qualification to engage in insurance sales activities, and compiling or providing false reports, statements, documents and materials. In this regard, Ping An Property & Casualty Shanghai Branch responded that the company completely obeyed the punishment decision of the regulatory authorities, and ordered the punished institutions to carefully analyze the causes of the problems found in the supervision at the first time, and started the internal accountability mechanism to pursue the relevant responsible persons. In response to the problems pointed out by the regulatory authorities, the relevant departments have been instructed to take the lead in organizing the relevant institutions to carry out rectification work, and to carry out self-examination and self-correction of related problems and centralized rectification work. (澎湃)Chris, analyst: After the US CPI was released, the US stock index futures once hit an intraday high, but the market reaction was still quite dull.US officials said that the United States is focused on providing Ukraine with the air defense system it needs to defend against Russian missiles and drones.
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide
12-14
Strategy guide 12-14